stallion

Goodwood Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.


ANALYSIS PI
5 Furlongs
1.20
6 Furlongs
1.31
7 Furlongs
1.27
1 Mile
1.30
1 Mile 1 Furlongs
1.27
1 Mile 4 Furlongs
1.13

Goodwood is in affect two courses. The 5 and 6 furlong courses are straight mostly downhill, and horses tend to stick to the standside, whereas races over 7 Furlong+ are run round a bend on an undulating course, and the runners tend to stick to the far side in the straight. For races over 5 and 6 furlongs hold up horses are strongly favoured, with the 5 furlongs in particular being the hardest course in the country to win by making the running.

For races over 7F+ the analysis indicates that the course is pretty fair to all types of runners, if maybe being a bit favouravle to hold up horses.
In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Goodwood ranks :

5 Furlongs 31st out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs - 20th out of 27 courses
7 Furlongs 19th out of 22 courses
8 Furlongs 15th out of 25 courses