stallion

Leicester Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won, over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.


ANALYSIS PI
6 Furlongs
1.21
7 Furlongs
1.31
1 mile
1.44
1 Mile 2 Furlongs
1.29

There is a strange result here with the 6 furlong course being suited to hold up horses, which is what you would expect on a straight uphill course, whereas the mile course seems to be favourable to front runners, although the mile is run round a bend so this may explain the difference. In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Leicester ranks:


6 Furlongs - 26th out of 27 courses
7 Furlongs 12th out of 22 courses
8 Furlongs 5th out of 25 courses

Leicester had 9 In-Play losers at 1.01 from 660 cases (ranked 21st of 39 UK Flat): 53 In-Play losers at 1.10 or less from 718 cases (ranked 11th of 39 UK Flat)