stallion

Redcar Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.


ANALYSIS PI
5 Furlongs
1.54
6 Furlongs
1.39
7 Furlongs
1.30
1 Mile
1.18
1 Mile 2 Furlongs
1.22
1 Mile 6 Furlongs
0.97

An interesting result here. The 5 furlong course definitely appears to favour front runners, however the further distance they go the more hold up horses are favoured, meaning that over a mile Redcar is one of the worst courses for front runners. All races up to a mile are run on a straight course, and it is generally harder to make all over a straight course, which makes the 5 furlong findings hard to understand.

In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Redcar ranks :


5 Furlongs 4th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs 11th out of 29 courses
7 Furlongs 15th out of 24 courses
8 Furlongs 27th out of 30 courses