Ascot Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won, over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.

5 Furlongs
6 Furlongs
7 Furlongs
1 Mile Round
1 Mile Straight
10 Furlongs
12 Furlongs
2 Miles

There is a very significant pace bias at Ascot, as can be seen from the analysis above. It is very difficult to make the running and win at Ascot.

In terms of the individual distances, if we look at were Ascot ranks against other turf courses which have races over equivalent distances. Ascot is ranked at the bottom or near the bottom for Front Runners for every distance

5 Furlongs - 20th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs - 29th out of 29 courses
7 Furlongs - 23rd out of 23 courses
8 Furlongs - 24th out of 25 courses
10 Furlongs - 25th out of 26 courses
12 Furlongs - 14th out of 16 courses