Ayr Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.

5 Furlongs
6 Furlongs
7 Furlongs
1 Mile
1 Mile 2 Furlongs
1 Mile 5 Furlongs
1 Mile 7 Furlongs

At Ayr the 5 and 6 furlong races are run on the straight and hold up horses are generally favoured. Over 7 furlongs and a mile which are run on the turn the course is more fair to more prominently ridden horses.

In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Ayr ranks :

5 Furlongs – 24th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs – 19th out of 29 courses
7 Furlongs – 9th out of 24 courses
8 Furlongs – 18th out of 30 courses