Carlisle Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.

5 Furlongs
6 Furlongs
7 Furlongs
1 Mile
1 Mile 6 Furlongs

Carlisle is quite a stiff track. The pace analysis is very confusing as over 5 furlongs and a mile front runners are heavily favoured. Yet over 6 and 7 furlongs it appears that hold up horses are quite heavily favoured. I can’t really give any logical reason for the discrepancy.

In terms of the individual distances, shown below is how Carlisle ranks :

5 Furlongs – 6th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs – 18th out of 28 courses
7 Furlongs – 19th out of 22 courses
8 Furlongs – 2nd out of 25 courses

In terms of in running betting Carlisle had 5 In-Play losers at 1.01 from 354 cases (ranked 19th of 39 UK Flat): 27 In-Play losers at 1.10 or less from 389 cases (ranked 18th of 39 UK Flat):