Lingfield Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won, over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.

5 Furlongs
Lingfield Pace 1.33
6 Furlongs
7 Furlongs
1 Mile
10 Furlongs
12 Furlongs

Lingfield has the reputation of a perfect course for hold up horses, with the last horse to commit for home normally winning. However the stats don’t back this up.

As shown below apart from over 5 furlongs where hold up horses are favoured, over the other distances Lingfield is pretty average in terms of pace bias amongst the all weather courses.
5 Furlongs – 5th out of 5 courses
6 Furlongs - 3rd out of 5 courses
7 Furlongs – 2nd out of 4 courses
8 Furlongs – 3rd out of 5 courses

In terms of in-running betting Lingfield had 4 In-Play losers at 1.01 from 382 cases (ranked 27th of 39 UK Flat): 28 In-Play losers at 1.10 or less from 427 cases (ranked 23rd of 39 UK Flat).