Nottingham Pace Bias Statistics

The graphs below indicate what percentage of horses with a particular running style won, over each particular distance.

The three different styles are horses that led, horses which were mid pack, and horses held up at the back.

The Pace Indicator (PI) is a quick representation of the analysis, and indicates the style of running which is most favourable over each particular distance. A PI of 2 would indicate that all winners led. A PI score of 0 would mean that all winners were held up. Obviously the actual figure is always somewhere in between depending on the pace bias which exists.

5 Furlongs
Wolverhampton Pace 1.45
6 Furlongs
1 Mile
10 Furlongs
14 Furlongs

Up to a mile the pace definitely holds up, and it seems to be hard for a hold up horse to win. Over the longer distances their doesn't appear to be a bias, giving horses with any running style a chance.

In terms of in-running betting Nottingham had 13 In-Play losers at 1.01 from 631 cases (ranked 3rd of 39 UK Flat): 55 In-Play losers at 1.10 or less from 724 cases (ranked 9th of 39 UK Flat):