What the pattern suggests
We need to be careful because of the small sample size, however there does appear to be a definite advantage favouring those horses drawn high over six furlongs at Bath. This would tie up with the 5 furlong results and draw analysis.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Bath are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 11 | 11 | 11 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 11 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 111 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
We need to be careful because of the small sample size, however there does appear to be a definite advantage favouring those horses drawn high over six furlongs at Bath. This would tie up with the 5 furlong results and draw analysis.