What the pattern suggests
A rather surprising result here is that the outside stalls appear to be favoured. This is particularly the case when the ground is soft, which can be explained by the fact that in soft ground the stands rail is thought to be the place to be, so runners tend to tack across towards it.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Brighton are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 1 | 1111 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 1 11 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 | ||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
A rather surprising result here in that it appears that the outside stalls are favoured. This is particularly the case when the ground is soft, although this can be explained by the fact that in soft ground the stands rail is thought the place to be so runners normally tack across to there.