Best place to be drawnSlight low bias
Race type3yo+ handicaps
Sample period2024–2025
Key influenceMarginal effect
What the pattern suggests
It isn't entirely clear whether there is a genuine draw bias over seven furlongs at Brighton. Low-drawn runners are slightly favoured, but only very slightly.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
Good or fasterGood to soft or softer
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Brighton are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 |
1111 | 111 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 11 | 111 | 111 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 3 |
|
6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
I'm not sure if there is a draw bias here or not. Low drawn runners are slightly favoured, but it is only very slightly.
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