Best place to be drawnHigh / slight edge
Race type3yo+ races
SampleHistorical results
Key influenceRail position
What the pattern suggests
As you would expect the results are very similar to the 5 furlong results at Chepstow, with their appearing to be a slight bias favouring high drawn runners, and once again the stall with the most winners is the highest one next to the rail.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the field.
Good or fasterGood to soft or softer
The source chart covers horses aged three and older.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | x | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 |
1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
|
5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |||||||||
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a favourable position.
- Going: consider whether one side of the straight is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects can become more meaningful when runners are spread across a larger field.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
As you would expect the results are very similar to the 5 furlong results at Chepstow, with their appearing to be a slight bias favouring high drawn runners, and once again the stall with the most winners is the highest one next to the rail.
Related Chepstow analysis
Advertisement