What the pattern suggests
This is one to keep an eye on. There is very little data since the course was re-opened in 2005, but from the limited data available, high-drawn runners do appear to be favoured over six furlongs at Doncaster, particularly those drawn very high who are able to claim the stands-side rail. The bias seems to have grown larger over the last couple of years.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Doncaster are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | x11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
|
4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 14 | |||||||||
|
28 |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
This is one to keep an eye on, there is very little data since the course was re-opened in 2005, but from the limited data we have it does appear that high drawn runners are favoured at Doncaster over 6 furlongs. Particularly those drawn really high who are able to bag the stand side rail. The last couple of years the bias seems to have got larger.