What the pattern suggests
There doesn't appear to be any real bias here overall. However, if broken down by year, more recent seasons show high-drawn runners starting to win considerably more often than low-drawn ones.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Doncaster are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x1 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 11 | 111 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 111 | 1 | 11 1 | 1111 | 11 | 1 | 1111 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 1 | 1 | 1111 | 1 | 11111 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 1111 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 111111 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | 10 |
14 | 7 | 4 |
|
7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
15 | |||||||||
|
45 |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
There doesn't appear to be any bias here. Although if we were to break it down into years it would show that in 2013 and 2014 high drawn runners have started to win an awful lot more than low drawn runners.