What the pattern suggests
The Doncaster straight mile is where the Lincoln is run every year. There really isn't enough data to draw firm conclusions here, but it does appear that being drawn middle-to-high, and particularly in the outside stall, is favoured.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Doncaster are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 111 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 11 | x | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
The Doncaster straight mile is where the Lincoln is run every year. There really isn't enough data to form any conclusions here. But it does seem that being drawn middle to high and particularly in the outside stall is favoured.