What the pattern suggests
The six furlongs at Epsom is run around a left-handed bend, but the horses start on a chute and the turn is nowhere near as severe as in the 7 furlong races. This could explain why there appears to be a big advantage to being drawn low over 7 furlongs, but no real advantage at all to being drawn low over 6 furlongs — in fact, being drawn high appears to be a bit of an advantage.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Epsom are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 111 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 11 | 111 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 111 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
|
4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
The six furlongs at Epsom is run around a left handed bend, however they start on a chute and the turn is nowhere near as severe as the 7 furlong races. This could explain why it appears to be a big advantage to be drawn low over 7 furlongs, but no real advantage at all to be drawn low over 6 furlongs at Epsom, and in actual fact being drawn high appears to be a bit of an advantage.