What the pattern suggests
The limited historical evidence does not show a dependable advantage for low, middle or high stalls. The wide, straight five-furlong course generally gives runners room to obtain a clear run, so pace and current going are likely to be more important than stall position.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the field.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2009–2014.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 111 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 1 |
H'caps Only 2009 - 2014 |
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| 10 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 111 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
1 | |||||||||
|
|
|
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Conclusions
There is too little historical data to support a firm draw-bias conclusion. The available results are consistent with the visual impression that no section of the draw holds a reliable advantage over five furlongs at Ffos Las.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 5f at Ffos Las?
The limited historical sample does not show a reliable draw bias over five furlongs at Ffos Las.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Consider pace, going, field size and where runners choose to race on the day.