What the pattern suggests
The sample is too limited to establish a permanent one-mile draw bias. However, several races on soft ground were won from the outside stall, suggesting that higher-numbered stalls may occasionally benefit when runners seek a particular strip of ground.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the field.
The historical source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2009–2014.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x11 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2009 - 2014 |
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| 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | |
1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | |||||||||
|
|
|
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Conclusions
There is not enough data to make a firm judgement. The main point of interest is that four races in the limited sample were won from the outside stall on soft ground, a condition that occurs regularly at Ffos Las.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a draw bias over 1 mile at Ffos Las?
There is no firm one-mile bias, although the limited sample contains several outside-stall winners on soft ground.
Should the draw be used on its own?
No. Consider pace, going, field size and where runners choose to race on the day.