What the pattern suggests
Very little data to go on here, and as far as you can tell it appears to be a pretty even spread at Leicester over 5 Furlongs. However it could be significant that a quarter of the races are won by the horse in the highest stall.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the field.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older.
Stall-numbering note: From 30 March 2011, stall numbering on right-handed courses changed so that stall 1 is always on the inside. Earlier Leicester results in the source chart were converted to the modern numbering convention.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
|
2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a favourable position.
- Going: consider whether one side of the straight is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects can become more meaningful when runners are spread across a larger field.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Very little data to go on here, and as far as you can tell it appears to be a pretty even spread at Leicester over 5 Furlongs. However it could be significant that a quarter of the races are won by the horse in the highest stall.