What the pattern suggests
A similar pattern to the 7 Furlong races in that low seems to be heavily favoured, which isn't surprising as the mile races at Leicester are run over the same straight course as the 7 furlong races.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This shows whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side of the field.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older.
Stall-numbering note: From 30 March 2011, stall numbering on right-handed courses changed so that stall 1 is always on the inside. Earlier Leicester results in the source chart were converted to the modern numbering convention.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 111 | x | 1 |
H'caps Only 2025 - 2025 |
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| 10 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
|
3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a favourable position.
- Going: consider whether one side of the straight is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects can become more meaningful when runners are spread across a larger field.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
A similar pattern to the 7 Furlong races in that low seems to be heavily favoured, which isn't surprising as the mile races at Leicester are run over the same straight course as the 7 furlong races.