What the pattern suggests
The six furlong races at Redcar are run over the same straight course as the five furlong races. However, while there is a bias towards low over five furlongs, the bias appears to reverse over six furlongs, with high slightly favoured — which is hard to explain.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Redcar are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 11 | 1 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 111 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 |
1 | 1 | 1 11 |
111 | ||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
|
5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
The six furlong races at Redcar are run over the same straight course as the five furlong races, however although there is a bias towards low over five furlongs, the bias seems to be reversed over 6 furlongs at Redcar, with high slightly favoured. Which is hard to explain.