www.drawbias.com
This chart shows horse racing results for horses aged 3 years or older only.
The results are plotted winning stall number against the number of runners.
The resultant chart shows the Draw Advantage Pattern produced by the winning stall numbers.
Results on good or better going are shown in black.
Results on good to soft or softer going are shown in red.
*Please note as from 30th March 2011 Stall numbering on right handed courses was switched, so that the inside stall is always stall number 1. However the results have been plotted in the chart below as if the stall numbering has always been his way at Ripon. So for instance if there was a winner from stall 12 of 12 prior to 2011, this would be plotted below as stall 1 of 12.
Conclusions
There is a significant draw bias at Ripon. With fields of a dozen or less high is massively favoured when the ground is good or better. With bigger fields the horses tend to split into two groups and there is a strip of ground on the far side which is quicker than anywhere else which explains the *low drawn winners in big fields. Soft ground seems to negate any draw bias.
Ripon 5 Furlongs
This chart shows horse racing results for horses aged 3 years or older only.
The results are plotted winning stall number against the number of runners.
The resultant chart shows the Draw Advantage Pattern produced by the winning stall numbers.
Results on good or better going are shown in black.
Results on good to soft or softer going are shown in red.
*Please note as from 30th March 2011 Stall numbering on right handed courses was switched, so that the inside stall is always stall number 1. However the results have been plotted in the chart below as if the stall numbering has always been his way at Ripon. So for instance if there was a winner from stall 12 of 12 prior to 2011, this would be plotted below as stall 1 of 12.
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
9 | x111 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
H'caps Only 2000 - 2013 |
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10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
12 | 11 | 111 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
13 | |
1 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||||||
14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
15 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
|
4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | |||||||||
|
|
Conclusions
There is a significant draw bias at Ripon. With fields of a dozen or less high is massively favoured when the ground is good or better. With bigger fields the horses tend to split into two groups and there is a strip of ground on the far side which is quicker than anywhere else which explains the *low drawn winners in big fields. Soft ground seems to negate any draw bias.