Is there a draw bias over 5f at Sandown?

The historical evidence is mixed overall, although lower-numbered stalls appear more helpful when the ground is soft.

Should the draw be used on its own?

No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, going, field size and current track conditions.

Is there a draw bias over 7f at Thirsk?

The 7f course runs around one turn, and the stats show a medium advantage for low-drawn runners on good or better going, though this appears to reverse — favouring high — when the ground is soft.

Should the draw be used on its own?

No. Draw should be assessed alongside pace, going, field size and current track conditions.

Thirsk 7f Draw Bias and Betting Guide | Stall Advantage & Historical Pattern

Best place to be drawnMedium low bias (reverses if soft)

Race type3yo+ handicaps

Sample period2024–2025

Key influenceOne-turn course

What the pattern suggests

The 7 furlongs at Thirsk is run around one turn, and the draw stats indicate a medium advantage in being drawn low when the ground is good or better. When the ground is soft, it actually appears to be better to be drawn high.

How to read the chart

Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.

Good or fasterGood to soft or softer

The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.

Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Thirsk are always positioned on the inside of the track.

Historical winning-stall chart

		WINNING STALL NUMBER
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
No of R U N N E R S	8	1			1				1
	9		x			1	1		11							3yr olds and older H'caps Only 2024 - 2025
	10		1			1	1	1	11
	11		1	11	11				111		1
	12	1	1	1		111			1	1			11
	13			111	1			1		1	1			1 1
	14				11						11		1	1	1
	15			1	1			1	11					1
	16				1	1		1				11
	17
	18
	19
	20					1
		2	3	5	8	3	0	<--Good or better -->								2	3	3	3	2	1
		21										14

How to use the bias

Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.

Conclusion

The 7 furlongs at Thirsk is around one turn, and the draw stats seem to indicate a medium advantage in being drawn low when the ground is good or better. When the ground is soft it actually appears to be better to be drawn high.

What the pattern suggests

How to read the chart

Historical winning-stall chart

How to use the bias

Conclusion

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