What the pattern suggests
York doesn't stage many races over 7 furlongs, so there is limited data to go on. However, it does appear very hard to win from a low draw, with quite a strong bias favouring high-drawn runners. When the ground is soft, though, the bias reverses, with low-drawn runners favoured instead.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at York are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | x1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 |
1 | 1 |
|||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 |
1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |||||||||
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|
|
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
As you can see they don't have many races over 7 furlongs at York, so their is little data to go on. However it does appear that it is very hard to win from a low draw, and that their is quite a strong bias favouring high drawn runners. Although when the ground is soft the bias is reversed with low drawn runners being favoured.