What the pattern suggests
There doesn't appear to be any bias here, with the slight difference between low and high explained by the small sample size. This isn't a surprise — Chelmsford City is a wide course with sweeping turns, so over a mile there will be plenty of opportunities to get a horse into the correct position.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Chelmsford City are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1111 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 1111 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 2 |
|
5 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
There doesn't appear to be any bias here with the slight difference between low and high being explained by the small sample size. This isn't a surprise Chelmsford City is a wide course with sweeping turns so over a mile there will be plenty of opportunities to get your horse into the correct position.