What the pattern suggests
Nottingham is perceived as a very fair track, but the stats don't quite back that up, with high appearing slightly favoured. Increasingly, the stands-side rail is becoming the place to be, which would favour high-drawn runners.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Nottingham are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11111 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | x1 | 1 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
||||||||||||||
| 10 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 111 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1111 | 1 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
|
5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |||||||||
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How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
Nottingham is perceived as a very fair track however the stats don't quite back that up, with high appearing slightly favoured. Increasingly the standside rail is becoming the place to be which would favour high drawn runners.