What the pattern suggests
As with the 5 furlong analysis, there's a fairly even spread of winning stall numbers, with high only slightly favoured overall. Digging into the stats in more detail, though, shows that in the last few years being drawn high has definitely become more important at Nottingham.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Nottingham are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | x | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 11 |
H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | |||||||||
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
As with the 5 Furlong analysis quite an even spread of winning stall numbers with high only slightly favoured, although digging into the stats in more detail shows that in the last few years being drawn high has definitely become more important at Nottingham.