What the pattern suggests
An almost perfect distribution shows there is no draw bias at seven furlongs. Unlike the six furlong races, horses have enough time before the first turn to sort themselves out and get into the position they want. The conclusion is that no bias exists at this trip.
How to read the chart
Each mark represents a winning stall number plotted against the total number of runners. This reveals whether winners repeatedly cluster towards the low, middle or high side.
The source chart covers horses aged three and older in handicaps from 2024–2025.
Stall-numbering note: Stalls at Southwell's all-weather course are always positioned on the inside of the track.
Historical winning-stall chart
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | ||
| No
of R U N N E R S |
8 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | H'caps Only 2024 - 2025 |
|||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | ||||||||||
How to use the bias
- Pace: identify where the likely early leaders are drawn and which runners can secure a good position.
- Going: consider whether the inside or outside is riding faster on the day.
- Field size: draw effects are often more meaningful when runners are crowded into larger fields.
- Recent evidence: rail movements, watering and weather can alter the effective bias.
Conclusion
An almost perfect distribution shows that their is no draw bias at 7 furlongs. Unlike the 6 furlong races horses have enough time before the first turn to sort themselves out and therefore get into the position they want. Conclusion is no bias exists at 7 furlongs.